Towards Universal Representation-Based Process Control
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Abstract (arXiv)
Many temporal process learning and monitoring pipelines operate in local windows, making window-level decisions unavoidable in practice. In such settings, classical statistical tests can be applied to individual windows, but they typically evaluate predefined parametric hypotheses-such as unit-root or moment-based conditions-thereby limiting flexibility when reference behavior is defined empirically from task- or domain-specific data. In this work, we view window-level monitoring as a process control problem and reformulate it as reference-based hypothesis testing, where the null hypothesis is specified by an empirical reference distribution rather than a fixed parametric model. We operationalize this perspective through a representation-based, nonparametric framework that combines pretrained time series encoders, kernel density estimation, and conformal calibration, yielding finite-sample valid inference in learned representation space. Classical notions such as stationarity and cyclostationarity arise as natural instantiations of empirical reference sets within this framework. Through experiments, we demonstrate sensitivity to window-level distributional deviations while maintaining well-calibrated inference under stable reference regimes, highlighting the applicability of the proposed approach to a broad class of time series process control and monitoring tasks.
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References · 13
- 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 759
- 2024Unified Training of Universal Time Series Forecasting Transformerscited by 614
- 2024MOMENT: A Family of Open Time-series Foundation Modelscited by 482
- 2018Detecting Spacecraft Anomalies Using LSTMs and Nonparametric Dynamic Thresholdingcited by 410
- 2024Foundation Models for Time Series Analysis: A Tutorial and Surveycited by 239
- 2021Unsupervised Representation Learning for Time Series with Temporal Neighborhood Codingcited by 224
- 2025TiRex: Zero-Shot Forecasting Across Long and Short Horizons with Enhanced In-Context Learningcited by 120
- 2023DIVERSIFY: A General Framework for Time Series Out-of-distribution Detection and Generalizationcited by 24
- 2022ClaSP -- Parameter-free Time Series Segmentationcited by 21
- 2024Exploring Representations and Interventions in Time Series Foundation Modelscited by 20
- 2025Learning Actionable World Models for Industrial Process Controlcited by 4
- 2025Online Time Series Forecasting with Theoretical Guaranteescited by 2
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