Task-Resolved Fisher Spectroscopy for Quantum Reservoir Computing

Quantum reservoir computing (QRC) uses fixed quantum dynamics to encode a time series and trains only a classical readout, but a benchmark capacity alone does not reveal whether task information is lost in the reservoir, the measurement, feature compression, or finite sampling. We introduce task-resolved Fisher spectroscopy, in which prediction targets define orthonormal score coordinates on the stationary distribution of input histories. Reweighting labeled histories along these scores generates an exactly affine family of reservoir states and measurement outcomes. In the same coordinates, we obtain a many-body Fisher-information hierarchy relating the state quantum Fisher information, the Fisher information of the complete measurement record, and moment matrices retained through many-body order r. The quadratic form of each moment matrix is exactly the stationary capacity of the optimal linear readout, while a finite-measurement extension predicts the approach from one-shot records to ideal expectation-value features. The measurement-level quantities require only stationary labeled records and measured outcome strings, not an input model or quantum-state tomography. In a five-spin open reservoir, interactions route fourth-order temporal information into higher-body correlations, so low-order compression can incur orders-of-magnitude sampling overhead even when a conventional parity target remains accessible. For correlated inputs and outputs, record-defined task scores predict held-out capacities, the required feature order, and measurement-budget dependence; optimizing the local measurement axis recovers otherwise hidden task information. The framework connects benchmark performance to experimentally actionable diagnoses of reservoir encoding, measurement choice, classical representation, and shot allocation.