mlsanityData to 13 Oct 2026

Learning to Detect Symbolic Failure: Machine Learning and the Limits of Black-Scholes

arXiv 2609.27764 ↗First posted 24 Aug 2026cs.LG cs.CEcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

We treat options pricing as a representation problem: can machine learning detect systematic deviations from Black-Scholes using 2.6M real option contracts? We compare three regimes: learned abstract embeddings (Kernel PCA), preserved domain structure (tree-based ensembles), and neural network validation. Tree-based methods outperform kernel dimensionality reduction by 21.5 percentage points (93.8% vs 72.3%), and domain-expert features (Greeks, moneyness) outperform engineered features. NN-based and BS-based deviation labels agree 99.9974% of the time, suggesting deviations reflect market structure rather than model artifact. We conclude that in domains with expert-designed symbolic features, preserving structure beats learning abstractions. We make no claim of exploitable mispricings.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 13 Oct 2026). Builds on 1 of its 8 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 24 Aug 2026.

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References · 1

  1. 2019Neural networks for option pricing and hedging: a literature reviewcited by 39

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