Unanimity Without Persuasion: A Single Round of Debate Erases the Disagreement That Verification Needs
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Abstract (arXiv)
A debate panel can become unanimous without becoming more correct. This is dangerous for downstream safeguards: a substituted verification ballot can change only narrow-margin votes, while richer arbiters lose disagreement as a natural targeting signal. We show that one debate round can erase that resource without requiring persuasion. Tracking a heterogeneous 7-judge panel through a blind round and three debate rounds on 600 code-correctness candidates, unanimity on a fixed cohort jumps from 39.5% to 95.2% in round 1 (93.1% of the total collapse), while accuracy moves by less than one point and 96.3% of verdict flips follow the displayed peer majority. An execution-based verification ballot corrects 8 of 2,037 pre-debate candidate-substitution instances but changes zero in every later round; by round 3 every wrong decision is unanimous, erasing dissent that had flagged two-thirds of the panel's errors. Identical-cohort controls explain why: no-peer reconsideration reproduces 79.6% of the collapse, real labels without reasoning reproduce 91.5%, and random labels steer flips toward whatever they display; the full-debate condition adds 4.3 percentage points over labels only (clustered 95% CI 0.7--8.1). The one-round collapse reproduces in two additional real runs and two fake-label seeds, remains under panel sizes 3--7, and appears in MATH-500. Parse failures concentrate on contested candidates (p<0.001), making attrition non-ignorable. The design implication is operational: verify before any second-pass evaluation or peer exposure, and never treat post-debate unanimity as independent evidence of reliability.
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References · 19
- 2023Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arenacited by 8,393
- 2021Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Codecited by 8,053
- 2022Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 5,601
- 2021Program Synthesis with Large Language Modelscited by 3,509
- 2023Improving Factuality and Reasoning in Language Models through Multiagent Debatecited by 1,739
- 2023Encouraging Divergent Thinking in Large Language Models through Multi-Agent Debatecited by 995
- 2023Towards Understanding Sycophancy in Language Modelscited by 988
- 2017Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networkscited by 799
- 2023ChatEval: Towards Better LLM-based Evaluators through Multi-Agent Debatecited by 724
- 2018AI safety via debatecited by 384
- 2024Debating with More Persuasive LLMs Leads to More Truthful Answerscited by 255
- 2023Should we be going MAD? A Look at Multi-Agent Debate Strategies for LLMscited by 103
7 more
- 2025Debate or Vote: Which Yields Better Decisions in Multi-Agent Large Language Models?cited by 74
- 2025Correlated Errors in Large Language Modelscited by 42
- 2024Conformity in Large Language Modelscited by 30
- 2025Can LLM Agents Really Debate? A Controlled Study of Multi-Agent Debate in Logical Reasoningcited by 27
- 2026Nine Judges, Two Effective Votes: Correlated Errors Undermine LLM Evaluation Panelscited by 21
- 2026Demystifying Multi-Agent Debate: The Role of Confidence and Diversitycited by 17
- 2026Minority Sentinel: When to Overturn Majority Voting in Multi-Agent LLM Debatescited by 4
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