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High-Dimensional Online Change Point Detection with Adaptive Thresholding and Interpretability

arXiv 2609.24278 ↗First posted 21 Sep 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Change point detection (CPD) identifies abrupt and significant changes in sequential data, with applications in human activity recognition, financial markets, cybersecurity, manufacturing, and autonomous systems. Traditional CPD methods often face computational challenges in high-dimensional settings and typically provide limited explanations for detected changes, which can restrict their practical usability. This paper introduces a CPD framework that improves scalability and interpretability by leveraging the Sliced Wasserstein (SW) distance. Our contributions are fourfold: (1) we transform multivariate sequential data into one-dimensional scores using the SW distance, making the resulting representation compatible with existing CPD methods; (2) we analyze the distributional behavior of random slices of the SW distance and show that, under suitable assumptions, they can be approximated by a Gamma distribution, providing a principled basis for threshold calibration; (3) we propose a self-adapting online CPD algorithm that combines this SW-based score with an adaptive quantile-based threshold; (4) we introduce a model-specific framework for generating contrastive explanations for annotated change points. Empirically, our method reduces false positives by at least 48% on average compared with popular online and offline CPD baselines, while maintaining competitive or superior detection performance. Code is available at https://github.com/jsve96/SWCPDCode. At the same time, it produces interpretable change-point annotations, making it practical for deployment in high-stakes applications.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 25 of its 62 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 Sep 2026.

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References · 25

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  9. 2022Statistical, Robustness, and Computational Guarantees for Sliced Wasserstein Distancescited by 41
  10. 2019Kernel Change-point Detection with Auxiliary Deep Generative Modelscited by 33
  11. 2013A Nonparametric Approach for Multiple Change Point Analysis of Multivariate Datacited by 28
  12. 2018Doubly Robust Bayesian Inference for Non-Stationary Streaming Data with β-Divergencescited by 21
13 more
  1. 2020Change Point Detection in Time Series Data using Autoencoders with a Time-Invariant Representationcited by 21
  2. 2022ClaSP -- Parameter-free Time Series Segmentationcited by 21
  3. 2020Two-sample Test using Projected Wasserstein Distancecited by 17
  4. 2013ecp: An R Package for Nonparametric Multiple Change Point Analysis of Multivariate Datacited by 13
  5. 2018Spatio-temporal Bayesian On-line Changepoint Detection with Model Selectioncited by 13
  6. 2022WATCH: Wasserstein Change Point Detection for High-Dimensional Time Series Datacited by 13
  7. 2020Generalization of Change-Point Detection in Time Series Data Based on Direct Density Ratio Estimationcited by 12
  8. 2021Fast Online Changepoint Detection via Functional Pruning CUSUM statisticscited by 10
  9. 2019Optimal Transport Based Change Point Detection and Time Series Segment Clusteringcited by 8
  10. 2020Online Neural Networks for Change-Point Detectioncited by 8
  11. 2014Real-Time Predictive Modeling and Robust Avoidance of Pedestrians with Uncertain, Changing Intentionscited by 7
  12. 2020On Matched Filtering for Statistical Change Point Detectioncited by 5
  13. 2016Sequential nonparametric tests for a change in distribution: an application to detecting radiological anomaliescited by 2

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