A Four-Valued Graph Model for Conflict Resolution: Core Framework and a Machine-Checked Formalization in Lean 4

This note consolidates the core of the Quasi-Closed World Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (QCW-GMCR), which extends the standard Graph Model for Conflict Resolution with Belnap's four-valued logic to represent option-level epistemic ambiguity, and pairs the framework with a machine-checked Lean 4 formalization. QCW-GMCR combines: (1) FOUR-valued option assignments with compositional propagation to state-level feasibility; (2) graded reachability (definite, credible, possible) based on an FDE-inspired transition-warrant semantics, with definite reachability related to FDE consequence in the Boolean fragment; (3) axiomatized deterministic reductions from four-valued assessments to binary decisions, including four canonical operators reflecting distinct risk attitudes; and (4) catastrophe-avoiding equilibrium concepts with a quasi-closed-world safety invariant. A four-valued hypergame extension captures heterogeneous subjective assessments across decision makers. We state the core definitions and results and report the parts verified in Lean 4 with mathlib, including the classical GMCR stability hierarchy, algebraic and compositional properties of FOUR-valued conjunction, properties of the canonical reductions, and the graded reachability hierarchy. The formalization also helped identify and correct earlier claims, including a knowledge-monotonicity axiom replaced by truth monotonicity. This preprint provides a stable, citable record of the framework and its current formal verification status.