mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Your Agent Says Yes: Interpreting Adversarial Market Behavior Beyond Individual Transactions

arXiv 2609.07675 ↗First posted 7 Sep 2026cs.CE cs.AI cs.CRcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Transaction-local controls answer whether one financial request may proceed, but market behavior can be distributed across messages, agents, assets, and time. We study this interpretation gap in a virtual exchange populated by ten role-conditioned language-model agents. The agents communicate, trade reference assets and futures, launch tokens, and manage concentrated-liquidity pools under prescriptive adversarial roles. We analyze eight 72-cycle trajectories across two time-blinded hourly replay paths, with a runner-side wallet policy enabled or disabled. The retained artifacts connect generated outgoing messages, policy events, balances, positions, and cycle-end market state. A focal reconstruction shows a launch--promotion--exit scenario realized across private coordination, public claims, follower positioning, repeatedly withheld exits, and a later non-blocking request aligned with a token balance change. Across policy-enabled runs, the gate withholds direct requests selectively; most policy-categorized candidates are flagged rather than blocked, while the surrounding interaction can continue. Repeated runs also show that category-level and within-trajectory relations can recur even when normalized score-change rankings do not. These findings motivate agent-behavior evaluation that links communication, authorization, and evolving state instead of treating individual transaction verdicts as complete safety judgments.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 32 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Sep 2026.

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References · 16

  1. 2023Do the Rewards Justify the Means? Measuring Trade-Offs Between Rewards and Ethical Behavior in the MACHIAVELLI Benchmarkcited by 182
  2. 2023FinMem: A Performance-Enhanced LLM Trading Agent with Layered Memory and Character Designcited by 164
  3. 2025Multi-Agent Risks from Advanced AIcited by 163
  4. 2024Secret Collusion among AI Agents: Multi-Agent Deception via Steganographycited by 113
  5. 2024FinCon: A Synthesized LLM Multi-Agent System with Conceptual Verbal Reinforcement for Enhanced Financial Decision Makingcited by 113
  6. 2024Visibility into AI Agentscited by 79
  7. 2025Open Challenges in Multi-Agent Security: Towards Secure Systems of Interacting AI Agentscited by 71
  8. 2025TwinMarket: A Scalable Behavioral and Social Simulation for Financial Marketscited by 48
  9. 2018The Anatomy of a Cryptocurrency Pump-and-Dump Schemecited by 15
  10. 2022Token Spammers, Rug Pulls, and SniperBots: An Analysis of the Ecosystem of Tokens in Ethereum and in the Binance Smart Chain (BNB)cited by 15
  11. 2026How to Interpret Agent Behaviorcited by 10
  12. 2026Five Attacks on x402 Agentic Payment Protocolcited by 4
4 more
  1. 2025A Midsummer Meme's Dream: Investigating Market Manipulations in the Meme Coin Ecosystemcited by 3
  2. 2023Unveiling the Risks of NFT Promotion Scamscited by 2
  3. 2026No Certificate, No Execution: Certified Traces as a Foundation for Trustworthy AI Agentscited by 2
  4. 2026Securing Agentic AI: From Per-Action Checks to Trajectory Assurancecited by 1

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