mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

The geometry of AI validation: From structural blindness to reusable audits

arXiv 2608.21496 ↗First posted 21 Aug 2026cs.LG math.ST stat.MLcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

AI systems increasingly search among candidate answers and deploy the highest-scoring one. Increasing search changes which errors matter, so a precise evaluation at one computation budget can leave another budget unresolved. We connect this information gap to the cost of closing it. For independent best-of-n search, aggregate reliability measurements identify deployment only through the directions they observe; we derive an exact ambiguity frontier when only small search widths are audited. Retaining candidate ranks and truth labels enables a constructive alternative: one audit can estimate reliability across all widths up to N. With known score percentiles, the minimax worst-coordinate mean squared error scales as (1 + log N)/T + N/M, capped at a constant, for expected budgets of T truth labels and M candidate observations. Matching lower bounds allow adaptive label acquisition, establishing that the distinct label and candidate costs are intrinsic to this experiment. An explicit design attains this order; a complementary record-based procedure supplies simultaneous guarantees without a known score distribution. Retrospective mathematical-reasoning and code-generation analyses show why search-dependent validation matters. In held-out CodeRM pools, a shared audit reduces the 95th-percentile maximum error across 100 widths by 58% and 40% relative to uniform labeling. These results turn structural ambiguity into a quantitative prescription for reusable validation.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 8 of its 19 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 Aug 2026.

Builds on

8 of 19 references.

References · 8

  1. 2024Large Language Monkeys: Scaling Inference Compute with Repeated Samplingcited by 991
  2. 2014On the Complexity of Best Arm Identification in Multi-Armed Bandit Modelscited by 286
  3. 2025Is Best-of-N the Best of Them? Coverage, Scaling, and Optimality in Inference-Time Alignmentcited by 97
  4. 2025Dynamic Scaling of Unit Tests for Code Reward Modelingcited by 33
  5. 2025ROC-n-reroll: How verifier imperfection affects test-time scalingcited by 12
  6. 2024The Perils of Optimizing Learned Reward Functions: Low Training Error Does Not Guarantee Low Regretcited by 6
  7. 2025Adaptive Exploration for Multi-Reward Multi-Policy Evaluationcited by 6
  8. 2024Multiple-policy Evaluation via Density Estimationcited by 2

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