Do SpeechLMs Hear Their Own Opinions? Diagnosing and Mitigating Previous-Belief Contamination in Streaming Emotion Understanding

Streaming emotion understanding uses historical state while continuously interpreting current audio, often feeding the model's previous prediction back as context. We show that this history conditioning can distort current perception. On a balanced CREMA-D-Stream counterfactual diagnostic, changing only the injected previous emotion label while holding the audio fixed reduces current-audio accuracy from 72.50% to 30.42% and flips 65.69% of predictions. The effect is strongly label-asymmetric, with prior pull ranging from 4.76% to 98.20%, revealing a failure we call previous-belief contamination (PBC). To address PBC, we introduce EmoUpdate, a training-free framework that separates current-audio perception from historical state revision through three components: (1) a prior-blind acoustic firewall that prevents historical state from entering perception; (2) an evidence-shrunk causal belief filter that introduces history only after observation formation and retains label-asymmetric transition structure only when supported by observed evidence; and (3) a closed-form decontamination operator derived from the same counterfactual measurements for serving stacks where firewalling is unavailable. Across four SpeechLMs and two streaming emotion benchmarks, EmoUpdate achieves the best step accuracy and state-balanced accuracy in all eight model--benchmark settings, improving S-BAcc by up to 69.71 points and step accuracy by up to 38.41 points over the strongest controlled baselines.