mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Early Cycle Charge Trajectory Generative Prediction and Full Life Cycle Health Management of Iron-Chromium Flow Batteries Based on FlowBD-E1

arXiv 2608.14637 ↗First posted 28 Jul 2026cs.LG stat.MEcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Long-duration stationary energy storage requires batteries whose degradation can be detected before substantial capacity loss has accumulated. Iron-chromium redox flow batteries are attractive for this role because they use abundant and low-cost active species, yet their operation is shaped by slow chromium kinetics, hydrogen evolution, membrane crossover and electrolyte imbalance. These coupled processes gradually reshape the full charge voltage/current (V/I) trajectory, but most battery prognostic studies either focus on lithium-ion cells or compress ageing into scalar capacity and state-of-health (SOH) labels. Here we study an industrial 33 kW Fe-Cr redox flow battery and introduce FlowBD-E1, an early-cycle generative forecasting framework that predicts complete future charge V/I trajectories from only the first few cycles. The model combines a multi-scale convolutional encoder, a lifecycle Transformer and an age-aware FiLM decoder, and we compare three deployment strategies: single-step latent extrapolation (SLE), recursive latent forecasting (RLF) and teacher-forced updating (TFU). Using the first 9 of 289 cycles, RLF achieved a joint V/I mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.731% over the remaining lifecycle and produced SOH estimates below 1% MAPE. Ablation and independent-sequence tests showed that the age-aware generative architecture outperformed LSTM and TCN baselines and retained sub-percent errors under industrial validation. These results suggest that early-cycle trajectory generation can turn a short commissioning record into a long-horizon diagnostic signal for flow-battery management.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 9 of its 35 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 28 Jul 2026.

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References · 9

  1. 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 60,361
  2. 2019PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Librarycited by 20,305
  3. 2017FiLM: Visual Reasoning with a General Conditioning Layercited by 2,333
  4. 2018An Empirical Evaluation of Generic Convolutional and Recurrent Networks for Sequence Modelingcited by 1,476
  5. 2019Temporal Fusion Transformers for Interpretable Multi-horizon Time Series Forecastingcited by 761
  6. 2021Machine learning pipeline for battery state of health estimationcited by 29
  7. 2023Predicting Battery Lifetime Under Varying Usage Conditions from Early Aging Datacited by 7
  8. 2024DiffBatt: A Diffusion Model for Battery Degradation Prediction and Synthesiscited by 6
  9. 2023Accurate battery lifetime prediction across diverse aging conditions with deep learningcited by 1

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