Sequence prediction under a lying oracle
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Abstract (arXiv)
We consider the problem of sequential prediction of an m-ary sequence, where at each epoch, (i) the environment selects an outcome from an m-ary alphabet, (ii) the learner selects a probability distribution over the same alphabet (unaware of the outcome generated by the environment), and finally, (iii) the learner incurs a cost that depends on the probability assigned to the outcome. The cost function we consider captures the complexity of predicting the outcome generated by the environment, in a scenario where the aforementioned prediction is performed via comparative queries to a lying oracle. We consider both stochastic and adversarial environments, propose algorithms for both settings, and establish logarithmic upper bounds on their regret.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 2 of its 13 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 14 Aug 2026.
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References · 2
- 2018The entropy of lies: playing twenty questions with a liarcited by 2
- 2024Mode Estimation with Partial Feedbackcited by 1
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