Don't Cut Corners: How Training Outside the Prior Makes Simulation-Based Inference More Robust
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Abstract (arXiv)
Large astrophysical simulation campaigns often generate training data by sampling parameters across a Uniform prior box. Due to the proposal's sharp edge, neural posterior estimators struggle to learn accurate approximations near the boundaries. We propose Tailed-Uniform, a family of hybrid proposal distributions for sampling training simulations for robust simulation-based inference. By padding the original hard-truncated training box with decaying tails, Tailed-Uniform-trained networks yield more accurate posteriors near and beyond the edges. We demonstrate these improvements on a family of tail shapes, including a widened Uniform box as a control. Our results suggest that additional simulations near the prior boundary better constrain the networks as it approaches the edge of the training box, even for Uniform assumed priors. We show these advantages on a toy problem and cosmological parameter inference from the matter power spectrum. These benefits increase in high dimensions, where boundaries dominate parameter space volume.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 11 of its 28 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 12 Aug 2026.
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References · 11
- 2017Masked Autoregressive Flow for Density Estimationcited by 680
- 2019Neural Spline Flowscited by 590
- 2019The frontier of simulation-based inferencecited by 490
- 2015MADE: Masked Autoencoder for Distribution Estimationcited by 306
- 2016Revisiting Classifier Two-Sample Testscited by 258
- 2017Flexible statistical inference for mechanistic models of neural dynamicscited by 162
- 2021Benchmarking Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 160
- 2021Real-time gravitational-wave science with neural posterior estimationcited by 76
- 2023Interpreting the Curse of Dimensionality from Distance Concentration and Manifold Effectcited by 14
- 2024LtU-ILI: An All-in-One Framework for Implicit Inference in Astrophysics and Cosmologycited by 8
- 2024syren-new: Precise formulae for the linear and nonlinear matter power spectra with massive neutrinos and dynamical dark energycited by 4
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