A New Theory of Value for Post-AGI Economics
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Abstract (arXiv)
Artificial general intelligence (AGI) may weaken scarcities in labour, expertise, information, and productive capability that underpin established theories of economic value. If cognitive work becomes widely automatable, market price, labour input, revealed preference, profit, and gross output may diverge sharply from human and societal benefit. This paper develops Flourishing Value Theory (FVT) as a foundation for post-AGI economics. FVT defines value as the counterfactual, distribution-sensitive contribution of a system, institution, asset, or intervention to the durable capabilities of persons and communities to flourish within social and planetary constraints. It treats societal value as multidimensional, agency-preserving, regenerative, and non-compensatory at critical thresholds. Drawing on the economics of AI, welfare and capability theory, automation, digital valuation, and ecological economics, the paper distinguishes value creation from value capture and retains price, profit, productivity, and GDP as partial signals rather than final measures of progress. It develops the shifts from scarcity to governed abundance, transaction to transformation, and zero-sum rivalry to positive-sum and infinite-game dynamics, with collective expansion of consciousness as an agency-preserving form of regenerative value. Building on Flourishing Metrics and Return on Flourishing (RoF), it proposes a layered architecture for firms, governments, work transitions, AI governance, and national accounting. The central post-AGI economic problem is not how to maximise output, but how to convert abundant intelligence into durable, fairly distributed human, societal, and planetary flourishing.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 8 of its 120 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Aug 2026.
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8 of 120 references.
References · 8
- 2018Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Lawcited by 132
- 2023Levels of AGI for Operationalizing Progress on the Path to AGIcited by 94
- 2025An Economy of AI Agentscited by 17
- 2024Scenarios for the Transition to AGIcited by 13
- 2024Economic Policy Challenges for the Age of AIcited by 6
- 2026Post-AGI Economies: Autonomy and the First Fundamental Theorem of Welfare Economicscited by 2
- 2026Post-AGI Economies: Superposition and the Second Fundamental Theorem of Welfare Economicscited by 1
- 2026Optimising for Flourishing: Flourishing Metrics and Return on Flourishing as Success Criteria for Artificial Intelligence and Post-AGI Economic Systemscited by 1
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