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The Bayesian Reflex: A Predictive Coding Engine for Artificial Intelligence

arXiv 2608.00492 ↗First posted 1 Aug 2026cs.AI cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Predictive coding offers a powerful theory of cortical computation, but corresponding scalable algorithmic implementations for artificial intelligence have remained elusive. This paper introduces the Bayesian reflex, a computational framework that directly instantiates predictive coding through three pillars: belief maintenance via hierarchical generative models, sequential Bayesian updating via prediction-error minimization, and uncertainty-driven action via active inference. We show that recent breakthroughs---ellipsoidal decomposition for exact i.i.d. sampling, recursive Gaussian processes for deep hierarchical inference, and derivative-aware Bayesian optimization---provide the missing algorithmic ingredients. The resulting framework enables mathematically principled, scalable, and brain-inspired continual learning, perception, and decision-making. We illustrate its versatility through applications ranging from climate model evaluation to prime number discovery, offering a blueprint for truly adaptive artificial intelligence.

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References · 6

  1. 2017A Tutorial on Thompson Samplingcited by 433
  2. 2013On Geometric Ergodicity of Additive and Multiplicative Transformation Based Markov Chain Monte Carlo in High Dimensionscited by 1
  3. 2020How Ominous is the Premonition of Future Global Warming?cited by 1
  4. 2020Function Optimization with Posterior Gaussian Derivative Processcited by 1
  5. 2021IID Sampling from Intractable Distributionscited by 1
  6. 2026The Bayesian Reflex: Online Learning as the Autonomic Nervous System of Modern and Future AIcited by 1

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