TwistedMerge: Certified Higher-Order Diagnostics and Abstention for Model Merging

Model merging combines independently trained or fine-tuned models, but pairwise alignability does not imply globally consistent alignment. We formulate merging as a finite descent problem in which checkpoints are local objects, alignment maps are transitions, and cycle products are residuals. TwistedMerge is a conservative certification pipeline that separates fixed-chart averaging, synchronization-removable gauge inconsistency, a certified central obstruction on a specified comparison complex, and nonabelian holonomy. A residual is promoted to a cohomology class only after inverse-consistency, coefficient-identification, centrality, and closure tests; otherwise the method abstains and returns an ordinary or synchronized fallback. We prove a constant-edge no-go result, frozen-complex three-way and predeclared-family error-control theorems, and a refinement test for comparison-complex sensitivity. A planted neural alignment defect is removed by cycle-consistent synchronization, showing that a nonzero cycle score alone is not a higher obstruction. Controlled central systems recover the predicted non-coboundary and projective-rank behavior, while noisy estimates move from certification to abstention without false lifts on the tested controls. A trained low-rank-adapter audit shows that naive factor averaging depends on the chosen GLr representative, whereas global factor synchronization and dense-delta SVD are stable. On natural checkpoint collections, cycle residuals do not predict merge degradation and no natural central or period-index class is certified. The results position descent theory as a falsifiable certification and abstention framework.