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A Causal Markov Condition for Value

arXiv 2607.16717 ↗First posted 18 Jul 2026stat.ML cs.AI cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

This paper proposes a causal independence principle for value -- the value Causal Markov Condition (v-CMC) -- and develops the conceptual and mathematical foundations of a "causal value theory" linking causality and utility. After motivating a local formulation of the v-CMC, we introduce a probability-value duality that translates standard causal-inference results into the value setting. In particular, we formulate local, global, and decomposition versions of the v-CMC and prove their equivalence. We also define v-separation and show that it is sound and complete for conditional value independence. Furthermore, we derive a Bellman-type recursion as a special case of the v-CMC, thereby generalizing standard Bellman recursion from linear chains to causal DAGs. Finally, we show how the v-CMC supports modular transfer and updating of utility information across causal contexts and develop algorithms for causally structured utility elicitation and canonical influence-diagram construction.

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References · 7

  1. 2018A Survey of Inverse Reinforcement Learning: Challenges, Methods and Progresscited by 298
  2. 2021Agent Incentives: A Causal Perspectivecited by 51
  3. 2013Strong Completeness and Faithfulness in Bayesian Networkscited by 45
  4. 2013Graphical Models for Preference and Utilitycited by 3
  5. 2013UCP-Networks: A Directed Graphical Representation of Conditional Utilitiescited by 2
  6. 2013Expected Utility Networkscited by 2
  7. 2016Directed expected utility networkscited by 1

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