An Exact Instrument for State Usage in Selective State-Space Models, and the Input-Driven Migration It Reveals

Selective state-space models such as Mamba route information through a bank of first-order modes whose input coupling is set by a learned selection mechanism. We give an exact instrument for measuring how a trained model uses these modes. Because the state matrix is diagonal, each channel's output decomposes exactly into per-mode contributions, and a per-(layer, channel, window) Gram tensor yields the exact output error of dropping any subset of modes, offline, at any budget. Validated against the reference implementation to a relative error of 2.3×10-7 on the Mamba-1 family where it is exact, the instrument predicts a layer's deployed pruning error to a median relative deviation of 5×10-7 over 4,464 configurations, its floor set by the reconstruction. Applying the instrument across the Mamba-1 family (130M--2.8B), the deployed 7B Falcon-Mamba, and Mamba-2, we find that trained models re-allocate their state space with the input: which modes carry the signal migrates across contexts, and at the most affected layers a per-input oracle roughly halves the output error of a fixed mode set. Frozen-signal counterfactuals attribute the migration primarily to the input-dependent write map Bt; the timestep usually identified with selectivity carries almost none of it. Input-scheduled mode pruning on this measurement outperforms static, Hankel-based, and layer-adaptive rankings at every scale from 130M to the deployed 7B Falcon-Mamba, and at half the state budget it matches the unpruned model. Because the scheduler reads each window's mode usage from a first pass, this demonstrates realizable headroom; we claim no deployed compute or memory saving.