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Representation Learning for Semiparametric Causal Mediation Analysis under No Essential Heterogeneity

arXiv 2607.10540 ↗First posted 12 Jul 2026stat.ML cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

We propose a two-stage estimator for structural mediation parameters that combines deep representation learning with G-estimation under the "no essential heterogeneity" (NEH) assumption. We call the method UNIT. In the first stage,TARNet estimates the heterogeneous effect of a randomized treatment on a mediator by learning a shared covariate representation across treatment arms.The resulting conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimate provides a plug-in approximation to the heterogeneity-dependent component of the weight function entering the G-estimating equation of Zheng and Zhou (2015), which identifies the structural parameters even in the presence of unmeasured mediator-outcome confounding. We show that more accurate first-stage representation learning can yield a more informative plug-in weight and thereby improve the precision of the structural parameter estimator. In simulations with non-Gaussian covariates and nonlinear mediator effects, TARNet weights reduce the Stage-2 standard error of the mediation coefficient by a factor of 1.45 to 1.51 (median across replications, n ≥ 2000) relative to the classical approach, at no cost to bias or coverage.

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References · 8

  1. 2017Meta-learners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Machine Learningcited by 478
  2. 2016Learning Representations for Counterfactual Inferencecited by 329
  3. 2013Direct and Indirect Effectscited by 280
  4. 2021Nonparametric Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects: From Theory to Learning Algorithmscited by 144
  5. 2019Atlantic Causal Inference Conference (ACIC) Data Analysis Challenge 2017cited by 24
  6. 2015Structural Nested Models and G-estimation: The Partially Realized Promisecited by 15
  7. 2022Robust thin-plate splines for multivariate spatial smoothingcited by 1
  8. 2025RAPSEM: Identifying Latent Mediators Without Sequential Ignorability via a Rank-Preserving Structural Equation Modelcited by 1

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