Algebraic Model Counting for Global Analysis of Optimal Decision Trees

Ensuring model reliability in Explainable AI requires a global assessment of the hypothesis space. We propose a formal framework for the exhaustive analysis of optimal and near-optimal decision trees, called Algebraic Decision Tree Counting (ADTC). Inspired by Algebraic Model Counting (AMC) in knowledge representation, ADTC reformulates diverse analytical tasks, such as optimization, counting, and sampling, into a unified sum-of-products computation over a semiring R. While the hypothesis space of decision trees is doubly exponential with respect to the maximum depth Delta, our dynamic programming algorithm achieves O^*(nO(Delta)) time complexity in the number of features n, where O^* suppresses polynomial factors. To handle complex constraints consisting of multiple tree metrics, we introduce model behavior tensors that aggregate semiring values via convolution products over a tensor semiring. This algebraic approach efficiently constructs a model profile that captures the global landscape and trade-offs between criteria such as accuracy, size, and fairness. We demonstrate the utility of our software, emtrees, on real-world datasets, illustrating how ADTC facilitates evidence-based model selection in sensitive domains.