Multipath Adaptive Gated Bottleneck Latent ODE with Raman Data Fusion for Cell Culture Process Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Mammalian cell-culture processes underpin the manufacture of many biopharmaceuticals, yet keeping a run on track is hard: critical process parameters drift over days, and an off-specification trend is often confirmed too late to intervene. Early-stage, multi-day forecasts could enable timely adjustment of feeding, sampling, and control, but bioprocess forecasting is challenging because measurements are sparse and irregularly sampled, operating conditions are heterogeneous across cell lines and media, and runs with near-identical early behaviour can diverge into different futures. We propose an adaptive framework combining a Gated Bottleneck Latent Ordinary Differential Equation (GB-Latent ODE) with Multi-Path Just-In-Time Fine Tuning (MP-JIT-FT). The GB-Latent ODE augments the stan dard Latent ODE with learnable variable-wise gating and a mask-aware bottleneck that compress high-dimensional sparse inputs, improving learning under limited data. Given a partially observed run, MP-JIT-FT retrieves similar historical trajectories, clusters the local neighbourhood into candidate regimes, and fine-tunes a separate model per regime to produce multiple plausible paths, each with a reconstruction-based confidence score, not a single averaged forecast. We further fuse Raman spectroscopy data: a machine-learning soft sensor turns dense Raman spectra into pseudo-observations that enrich the sparse offline measurements for more robust training. On 38 fed-batch 5L bioreactor runs spanning 14 conditions, MP-JIT-FT with Raman fusion achieves the best average rank and outperforms a global Latent ODE baseline on 8 of 9 target variables. Using local-divergence metrics, we show the multi-path gains are largest when locally similar prefixes diverge, whereas Raman fusion helps most when early dynamics are representative of later behaviour.
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References · 11
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- 2019Lagging Inference Networks and Posterior Collapse in Variational Autoencoderscited by 124
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- 2019Balancing Reconstruction Quality and Regularisation in ELBO for VAEscited by 9
- 2025Machine Learning Methods for Small Data and Upstream Bioprocessing Applications: A Comprehensive Reviewcited by 4
- 2024Uncertainty Quantification Using Ensemble Learning and Monte Carlo Sampling for Performance Prediction and Monitoring in Cell Culture Processescited by 2
- 2025Lessons Learned from Deploying Adaptive Machine Learning Agents with Limited Data for Real-time Cell Culture Process Monitoringcited by 1
- 2025Learning From Limited Data and Feedback for Cell Culture Process Monitoring: A Comparative Studycited by 1
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