mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Hybrid Uncertainty Sensitivity Analysis Based on the HSIC for High-Dimensional Responses with Aleatory--Epistemic Separation

arXiv 2606.14053 ↗First posted 12 Jun 2026stat.ML cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Quantifying the influence of hybrid aleatory and epistemic uncertainties on high-dimensional system responses remains a major challenge in global sensitivity analysis (GSA). Existing Hilbert--Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC)-based approaches are primarily restricted to single-output settings and lack a rigorous decomposition of heterogeneous uncertainty sources and their interactions. To address this limitation, a novel double-space tensor-product RKHS framework is proposed for sensitivity analysis under hybrid uncertainty. By constructing factorized kernels over both the latent input space and the multidimensional output space, a concurrent double M"obius inversion is derived to orthogonally decompose the global dependence measure into pure aleatory effects, pure epistemic effects, and their interaction contributions. The resulting dimension-wise sensitivity indices preserve the uncertainty attribution structure across all output dimensions. To satisfy the independence assumptions required by the decomposition, an auxiliary-variable representation based on the inverse probability integral transform is introduced, enabling the treatment of hierarchical uncertainties and Copula-induced correlations within a unified latent space. A fully vectorized single-loop implementation is further developed to avoid the computational burden of nested Monte Carlo simulation. Statistical significance and estimation uncertainty are quantified through permutation testing and Bootstrap confidence intervals. Numerical studies on a modified multi-output Ishigami function and an aerodynamic pressure-field problem demonstrate the accuracy, scalability, and practical applicability of the proposed framework.

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References · 7

  1. 2016Kernel Mean Embedding of Distributions: A Review and Beyondcited by 364
  2. 2016A Kernel Test of Goodness of Fitcited by 143
  3. 2015Measuring Sample Quality with Stein's Methodcited by 94
  4. 2014Control functionals for Monte Carlo integrationcited by 59
  5. 2017A Linear-Time Kernel Goodness-of-Fit Testcited by 41
  6. 2013Global Sensitivity Analysis with Dependence Measurescited by 12
  7. 2023Kernel-based measures of association between inputs and outputs based on ANOVAcited by 3

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