mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

A Mathematical Theory of Value: a synthesis on goal-directed agency under resource constraints

arXiv 2606.12502 ↗First posted 10 Jun 2026physics.soc-ph cs.AIcited by 1

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

We propose that value -- the quantity goal-directed agents create, destroy, and exchange -- is a lawful structural quantity in the same category as information. Following Shannon's method, we make one ruthless abstraction: value is the rate at which an agent converts a resource into goal-progress, relative to a frame fixed by its goal. A scale-invariance axiom forces a logarithmic measure, V=sumi kiln ei; compounding of a reinvested resource forces the same form via the ergodicity argument of Peters (2019) -- kin routes, a consistency check, not an over-determination. We derive a coding theorem of value, Delta G ≤ I(X;Y); realized value decomposes as G=D(q|r)-D(q|p). For populations, value is frame-relative while price is frame-independent; a fleet that pools its resource and fuses its perception inherits the ceiling Grm fleet≤ I(X;Y1:m)≤ H(X) (a corollary; an earlier sum-form claim was wrong and is corrected in v5). A dynamical layer yields an is/ought asymmetry from which alignment emerges as a control-stability condition. We test the single-frame laws on live language models, pre-registered: perception mutual information tracks realized capability (Spearman ρ=0.977 over 30 model×domain points); out-of-sample Delta G tracks I(X;Y), shape-invariant across four task shapes (n=42, slope 0.953); over-confidence is measurable dissipation. The stated continuation gate has since been run (pre-registered, frontier-model population): the coupled capacity-region prediction -- growth-gap law, coalition submodularity with an XOR synergy control, joint ceiling, Kelly selection -- is confirmed within its frozen bands on real agents; the mean-field residual law |Vg|/γ found no domain (populations hold no goal dispersion) and is retired to its mathematical scope. The contribution is the unification and the governance mapping that follows.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 6 of its 33 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Jun 2026.

Builds on

6 of 33 references.

References · 6

  1. 2021Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problemscited by 10,109
  2. 2020Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understandingcited by 7,963
  3. 2021Program Synthesis with Large Language Modelscited by 3,637
  4. 2015Character-level Convolutional Networks for Text Classificationcited by 2,330
  5. 2019An Evaluation Dataset for Intent Classification and Out-of-Scope Predictioncited by 386
  6. 2017Occam's razor is insufficient to infer the preferences of irrational agentscited by 45

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.

1 paper.