SPACR: Single-Pass Adaptive Training of Uncertainty-Aware Conformal Regressors
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Abstract (arXiv)
Conformal Prediction (CP) provides robust uncertainty guarantees for predictive models, but is typically applied post hoc, which misaligns model training with the conformal goal of producing efficient (i.e., narrow) intervals. We propose SPACR (Single-Pass Adaptive Conformal Regressor), a novel method for directly training uncertainty-aware regressors within a differentiable loss. SPACR jointly optimizes accuracy, efficiency, and validity without batch-splitting or a predefined confidence level during training. As a result, a single SPACR model yields valid prediction intervals at multiple confidence levels during inference, avoiding the costly retraining required by methods like Directly Optimized Inductive Conformal Regression (DOICR). Experiments on diverse tabular and image datasets show that SPACR consistently gives tighter intervals and better coverage-efficiency trade-offs compared to standard CP and DOICR, while significantly reducing computational costs relative to retraining-dependent baselines.
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References · 14
- 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,926
- 2017What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?cited by 2,352
- 2021A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 792
- 2019Conformalized Quantile Regressioncited by 629
- 2017Robust Loss Functions under Label Noise for Deep Neural Networkscited by 443
- 2017A General and Adaptive Robust Loss Functioncited by 236
- 2021Learning Optimal Conformal Classifierscited by 112
- 2019Uncertainty Quantification with Statistical Guarantees in End-to-End Autonomous Driving Controlcited by 61
- 2021Optimized conformal classification using gradient descent approximationcited by 28
- 2020Training conformal predictorscited by 20
- 2023Reliable Prediction Intervals with Regression Neural Networkscited by 11
- 2025Conformal Risk Training: End-to-End Optimization of Conformal Risk Controlcited by 11
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