mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Calibration of Structured Ignorance Certificates for Diagnosing Unknown Unknowns in Reasoning Models

arXiv 2606.08571 ↗First posted 7 Jun 2026cs.CL cs.AI cs.LGcited by 0

On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking

Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models frequently fail in a characteristic way: rather than acknowledging ignorance, they produce fluent but incorrect answers to questions that lie beyond their knowledge boundaries. We introduce Structured Ignorance Certificates (SICs), a JSON-formatted output schema that demands a model explicitly name the missing domain intersection, enumerate required concepts, and propose a productive retrieval query rather than hallucinating an answer. To train models to produce high-quality SICs we construct a 7,347-sample Unknown-Unknown (UU) dataset by prompting Qwen3-14B to stitch together questions from seven domains (physics, biology, engineering, CS, economics, medical, legal) into novel cross-domain queries that no single-domain expert could answer. We fine-tune a 14B-parameter model with Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) using a composite reward that combines retrieval utility, concept specificity, and output-format validity. A paraphrase-divergence probe trained on model responses confirms that SIC-tuned outputs systematically exhibit higher unknown-unknown probability scores. Evaluation on 735 held-out UU questions achieves a 99.46% JSON validity rate, a mean Certificate Specificity Score of 0.967, and a 3.6% ROUGE-L improvement over the base model on retrieval-grounded generation -- demonstrating that explicit epistemic structuring is a learnable and measurable capability.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 15 of its 20 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Jun 2026.

Builds on

15 of 20 references.

Closest ancestors · 1

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2022Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know11 Jul

Other references · 14

  1. 2020Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Knowledge-Intensive NLP Taskscited by 9,160
  2. 2024DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Modelscited by 8,851
  3. 2020Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understandingcited by 7,768
  4. 2022Locating and Editing Factual Associations in GPTcited by 2,609
  5. 2020REALM: Retrieval-Augmented Language Model Pre-Trainingcited by 2,126
  6. 2024Tulu 3: Pushing Frontiers in Open Language Model Post-Trainingcited by 988
  7. 2023Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMscited by 946
  8. 2023Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generationcited by 795
  9. 2023Just Ask for Calibration: Strategies for Eliciting Calibrated Confidence Scores from Language Models Fine-Tuned with Human Feedbackcited by 788
  10. 2023The Geometry of Truth: Emergent Linear Structure in Large Language Model Representations of True/False Datasetscited by 673
  11. 2022Reliable Visual Question Answering: Abstain Rather Than Answer Incorrectlycited by 86
  12. 2026Linear Probes Detect Task Format, Not Reasoning Mode in Language Model Hidden Statescited by 7
2 more
  1. 2026I Can't Believe It's Not Robust: Catastrophic Collapse of Safety Classifiers under Embedding Driftcited by 3
  2. 2026Calibration Collapse Under Sycophancy Fine-Tuning: How Reward Hacking Breaks Uncertainty Quantification in LLMscited by 2

Built on by

Not cited yet.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2023Knowledge of Knowledge: Exploring Known-Unknowns Uncertainty with Large Language Models
  2. 2025AbstentionBench: Reasoning LLMs Fail on Unanswerable Questions
  3. 2026When Absence Is Evidence: Evaluating Completeness-Sensitive Negative Reasoning in Large Language Models
  4. 2025ReasoningWeekly: A General Knowledge and Verbal Reasoning Challenge for Large Language Models
  5. 2025LINGOLY-TOO: Disentangling Reasoning from Knowledge with Templatised Orthographic Obfuscation
  6. 2026Beyond Self-Knowledge: Propagating Uncertainty Across Reasoning and Retrieval in LLMs
  7. 2025Stop Before You Fail: Operational Capability Boundaries for Mitigating Unproductive Reasoning in Large Reasoning Models
  8. 2026MissDiag: Diagnostic Evaluation of Incomplete-Knowledge Robustness in KGQA and KG-RAG