AI Rater Discrimination Depends on Scoring Protocol in Complex Clinical Decision-Making
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Abstract (arXiv)
Clinical AI evaluation increasingly delegates scoring to large language models (LLMs) acting as AI raters, yet their scoring behavior across evaluation conditions has not been quantitatively characterized. We address this gap through a factorial study of AI rater behavior in adult type 2 diabetes (T2D) pharmacotherapy at 12-month outpatient follow-up, a clinical task involving complex decision-making operationalized across seven evaluation questions. Four open-source LLMs served simultaneously as clinical decision support system (CDSS) models and AI raters. Each CDSS output was scored under two scoring protocols: a rubric-anchored Gold Rubric (GR) protocol incorporating a patient-specific rubric, and a rubric-free Non Gold Rubric (Non-GR) protocol. Linear mixed effects models crossed the scoring protocol factor with five design factors -- CDSS model, CDSS prompt configuration (document-referenced generation [DRG] vs. Baseline), rater model, prompt character, and prompt type -- and estimated main effects together with their protocol interactions. Across all questions, AI raters yielded consistently higher scores within a very narrow range (74--78 points on average) under Non-GR compared to those under GR (7.69 to 49.64 points lower mean scores; 1.68 to 3.67 times wider interquartile ranges). Within each question, GR amplified the AI rater's discrimination between DRG and Baseline CDSS outputs by factors of 1.76 to 5.10, while also revealing substantial behavioral variation across rater models that Non-GR suppressed. These findings support rubric anchoring as the scoring protocol that preserves discriminative power in clinical AI evaluation; rubric-free scoring cannot substitute when questions require patient-specific or jurisdiction-specific criteria that rater models cannot infer from parametric knowledge alone.
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References · 9
- 2023Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arenacited by 8,626
- 2023Large Language Models are not Fair Evaluatorscited by 1,085
- 2023Towards Understanding Sycophancy in Language Modelscited by 1,040
- 2025HealthBench: Evaluating Large Language Models Towards Improved Human Healthcited by 429
- 2024Justice or Prejudice? Quantifying Biases in LLM-as-a-Judgecited by 368
- 2023Benchmarking Cognitive Biases in Large Language Models as Evaluatorscited by 150
- 2023Split and Merge: Aligning Position Biases in LLM-based Evaluatorscited by 72
- 2026CyclicJudge: Mitigating Judge Bias Efficiently in LLM-based Evaluationcited by 4
- 2026Evaluative Fingerprints: Stable and Systematic Differences in LLM Evaluator Behaviorcited by 1
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