Ask4VG: Risk-Aware Question Selection for Reducing Prior-Driven Answers in Medical VQA

Medical visual question answering requires models to ground their responses in image evidence, because visually unsupported answers can mislead downstream interpretation. However, many medical VQA questions are generic, template-like, or highly similar in form, which can encourage models to learn question-answer shortcuts instead of image-dependent reasoning and thereby increase the risk of hallucinated responses. We propose Ask4VG, a label-free pilot framework for risk-aware question selection. Ask4VG estimates question-induced hallucination risk through counterfactual visual probing: the same question is asked under the original image, a perturbed image, a blank image, and a mismatched image, and the resulting answer relations are converted into weak supervision for a counterfactual risk estimator. The learned estimator then reranks candidate question rewrites to favor intent-preserving questions that are less invariant to missing or mismatched visual evidence before final answer generation. On VQA-RAD with Qwen2-VL-2B-Instruct, prompt-only rewriting increases counterfactual risk, whereas predicted-risk reranking reduces held-out risk from 0.658 to 0.623 and improves exact accuracy from 0.337 to 0.356. A 300-sample PMC-VQA external check shows the same direction of risk reduction with a small accuracy gain. These results suggest that question selection is a promising complement to response-level hallucination mitigation for reliable medical VQA.