ChurnNet: A Optimized Modern AI for Churn Prediction
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Abstract (arXiv)
Increased competition and the growing similarity of products and services offered by retailers have lowered the barriers for customers to switch to competitors. Accurate churn prediction can be a valuable tool for driving effective personalized marketing campaigns and helping to reduce customer attrition. This study evaluates the performance of traditional machine learning techniques, namely, Random Forests, XGBoost, and Support Vector Machines, and compares them with the Unified Multi-Task Time Series Model for churn prediction, a binary time-series classification task. Despite the strong capacity of the latter to model complex temporal dynamics and inter-variable relationships, our results indicate that for churn prediction, conventional methods can still outperform it in terms of predictive performance, data efficiency, and computational resource requirements for training and deployment. These findings are consistent across multiple datasets and various churn labeling techniques.
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References · 5
- 2016XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting Systemcited by 5,166
- 2022TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysiscited by 1,058
- 2024UniTS: A Unified Multi-Task Time Series Modelcited by 94
- 2022Flowformer: Linearizing Transformers with Conservation Flowscited by 69
- 2023Causal Analysis of Customer Churn Using Deep Learningcited by 3
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