Generalizing Multi-Scale Time-Series Modeling with a Single Operator
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Abstract (arXiv)
Multi-scale modeling has emerged as an effective design principle for time-series forecasting by capturing temporal dynamics at multiple resolutions. As no principled foundation has been established in the literature, we unify existing scaling methods into a scaling operator family, revealing a fundamental limitation of existing approaches: reliance on fixed and discrete scaling. To address this limitation, we propose SiGMA (Single Generalized Multi-scale Architecture), which enables distance-aware scaling via the learnable discrete Gaussian (LDG) kernel grounded in scale-space theory. We evaluate SiGMA comprehensively on long- and short-term forecasting benchmarks against state-of-the-art multi-scale baselines. SiGMA outperforms all competitors on both tasks, especially achieving the best performance in 13 out of 16 long-term evaluation settings. Beyond accuracy, SiGMA significantly improves training speed by up to 5.3 times and reduces memory consumption by up to 3.8 times over the strongest competitors. Code is available at https://github.com/cheonwoolee/SiGMA.
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References · 21
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- 2024Time-MoE: Billion-Scale Time Series Foundation Models with Mixture of Expertscited by 280
- 2024Deep Time Series Models: A Comprehensive Survey and Benchmarkcited by 191
9 more
- 2023Frequency-domain MLPs are More Effective Learners in Time Series Forecastingcited by 170
- 2024TimeMixer++: A General Time Series Pattern Machine for Universal Predictive Analysiscited by 113
- 2025TimeFilter: Patch-Specific Spatial-Temporal Graph Filtration for Time Series Forecastingcited by 60
- 2023MSGNet: Learning Multi-Scale Inter-Series Correlations for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 50
- 2022Multi-Scale Adaptive Graph Neural Network for Multivariate Time Series Forecastingcited by 42
- 2024Adaptive Multi-Scale Decomposition Framework for Time Series Forecastingcited by 34
- 2024WPMixer: Efficient Multi-Resolution Mixing for Long-Term Time Series Forecastingcited by 25
- 2025TimePro: Efficient Multivariate Long-term Time Series Forecasting with Variable- and Time-Aware Hyper-statecited by 16
- 2024HiMTM: Hierarchical Multi-Scale Masked Time Series Modeling with Self-Distillation for Long-Term Forecastingcited by 8
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