mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Beyond Differences: Doubly Robust Meta-Learners for Ratio-Based Treatment Effects

arXiv 2605.26288 ↗First posted 25 May 2026stat.ML cs.LG stat.MEcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

When treatment effects are naturally expressed as ratios -- as in medicine, pricing, and marketing -- the ratio-based CATE τ(x) = E[Y|W=1,X=x] / E[Y|W=0,X=x] is the appropriate estimand. Yet existing estimators either impose a log-linear parametric structure or apply generic regression without robustness guarantees for this functional. We introduce the Q-Learner, which decomposes τ(x) into a product of two odds ratios, reducing ratio-CATE estimation for binary outcomes to two propensity classification tasks. We further derive doubly robust augmentations for both S/T- and Q-style ratio learners and characterize their distinct robustness properties. In benchmarks on seven RCT datasets, the Q-Learner is the most consistently competitive method in low-conversion regimes, where its propensity-only construction sidesteps the imbalanced regression that hurts outcome-based estimators. On four observational datasets, where propensity must be estimated and confounding cannot be ruled out, the DR learners introduced here decisively come out on top, making them practitioners' natural default for confounded observational data.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 10 of its 26 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 25 May 2026.

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10 of 26 references.

References · 10

  1. 2017Meta-learners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Machine Learningcited by 475
  2. 2017Causal Effect Inference with Deep Latent-Variable Modelscited by 408
  3. 2017Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 328
  4. 2019Orthogonal Statistical Learningcited by 150
  5. 2022Semiparametric doubly robust targeted double machine learning: a reviewcited by 129
  6. 2021Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects for General Responsescited by 7
  7. 2021Doing Great at Estimating CATE? On the Neglected Assumptions in Benchmark Comparisons of Treatment Effect Estimatorscited by 4
  8. 2015On Modeling and Estimation for the Relative Risk and Risk Differencecited by 3
  9. 2019Estimation and Validation of Ratio-based Conditional Average Treatment Effects Using Observational Datacited by 3
  10. 2023Targeting relative risk heterogeneity with causal forestscited by 1

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