mlsanityData to 13 Oct 2026

Archimedean Copula Inference via Taylor-Mode AD

arXiv 2605.23134 ↗First posted 22 May 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

No existing nested Archimedean copula tool handles all three of (a) arbitrary per-variable (right-)censoring in survival analysis, (b) arbitrary nesting trees, and (c) exact parameter gradients. Existing implementations handle only bivariate problems, low dimensional (i.e., d ≤ 10) cases, two layers of nesting, or only hand-derived copula nestings. We present textscacopula, a JAX-native framework that, given any Archimedean generator -- classical or neural -- evaluates exact nested-copula likelihoods and parameter gradients under arbitrary censoring masks in polynomial time. The mechanism is polynomial powering of Taylor-mode automatic differentiation output, which replaces per-family hand-derived partial Bell polynomial tables with a single differentiable computation that any user-defined generator can drive. We conduct extensive simulations to verify the correctness of textscacopula. We then demonstrate (a) per-variable censoring on 85,229 MIMIC-IV ICU admissions in high dimensions with d=53, fit by both classical Archimedean families and nested neural Archimedean copulas; (b) an 11-sector hierarchical model on S&P~500 daily returns at d=98; (c) family-agnostic censored MLE across ten families, five of them with no prior implementation, on a retinopathy study; and (d) a ~650× per-density speedup over R's textttnacLL at d=35, scaling quadratically to d=8,000.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 13 Oct 2026). Builds on 10 of its 44 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 22 May 2026.

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10 of 44 references.

References · 10

  1. 2020Fourier Features Let Networks Learn High Frequency Functions in Low Dimensional Domainscited by 2,183
  2. 2019Composable Effects for Flexible and Accelerated Probabilistic Programming in NumPyrocited by 189
  3. 2024Discrete Copula Diffusioncited by 53
  4. 2020Deep Archimedean Copulascited by 24
  5. 2023Copula-Based Deep Survival Models for Dependent Censoringcited by 12
  6. 2022You Only Linearize Once: Tangents Transpose to Gradientscited by 10
  7. 2021Generative Archimedean Copulascited by 8
  8. 2024HACSurv: A Hierarchical Copula-Based Approach for Survival Analysis with Dependent Competing Riskscited by 7
  9. 2023Automatic Functional Differentiation in JAXcited by 2
  10. 2025Analysis of multivariate event times under informative censoring using vine copulacited by 1

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