mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Longwang: Zero-Shot Global Spatiotemporal Precipitation Downscaling with a Latent Generative Prior

arXiv 2605.17603 ↗First posted 17 May 2026physics.ao-ph cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

High-resolution precipitation information is essential for climate impact assessment, yet global climate models remain too coarse to resolve key small-scale processes. Existing machine learning downscaling methods often require paired low- and high-resolution data for supervised learning, are tied to fixed regions or scale factors during inference, and can be computationally expensive to train and run in physical space. Here we introduce Longwang, a zero-shot latent generative framework for global spatiotemporal precipitation downscaling. Longwang learns a context-conditioned latent generative prior and combines it with a physically informed observation operator through posterior sampling, enabling daily O(10 km) precipitation fields to be generated from monthly O(100 km) inputs. On ERA5 reanalysis, Longwang outperforms standard posterior sampling with an unconditional generative prior in reconstructing fine-scale spatial patterns, preserving temporal coherence, and recovering extreme precipitation intensities. The framework further generalizes to historical climate simulations and future climate projections under substantial distribution shift.

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17 of 47 references.

References · 17

  1. 2021High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Modelscited by 18,863
  2. 2020Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equationscited by 9,122
  3. 2021Diffusion Models Beat GANs on Image Synthesiscited by 8,255
  4. 2021Improved Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 3,761
  5. 2022Diffusion Posterior Sampling for General Noisy Inverse Problemscited by 1,416
  6. 2023Solving Inverse Problems with Latent Diffusion Models via Hard Data Consistencycited by 182
  7. 2023Residual Corrective Diffusion Modeling for Km-scale Atmospheric Downscalingcited by 110
  8. 2023Score-based Data Assimilationcited by 96
  9. 2022A Generative Deep Learning Approach to Stochastic Downscaling of Precipitation Forecastscited by 66
  10. 2024Learning Diffusion Priors from Observations by Expectation Maximizationcited by 61
  11. 2023Debias Coarsely, Sample Conditionally: Statistical Downscaling through Optimal Transport and Probabilistic Diffusion Modelscited by 33
  12. 2024Fast, Scale-Adaptive, and Uncertainty-Aware Downscaling of Earth System Model Fields with Generative Machine Learningcited by 27
5 more
  1. 2023Unpaired Downscaling of Fluid Flows with Diffusion Bridgescited by 21
  2. 2023Precipitation Downscaling with Spatiotemporal Video Diffusioncited by 19
  3. 2024A Generative Framework for Probabilistic, Spatiotemporally Coherent Downscaling of Climate Simulationcited by 12
  4. 2024Global spatio-temporal downscaling of ERA5 precipitation through generative AIcited by 9
  5. 2024Multi-scale decomposition of sea surface height snapshots using machine learningcited by 2

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