Mistletoe: Stealthy Acceleration-Collapse Attacks on Speculative Decoding

Speculative decoding has become a widely adopted technique for accelerating large language model (LLM) inference by drafting multiple candidate tokens and verifying them with a target model in parallel. Its efficiency, however, critically depends on the average accepted length τ, i.e., how many draft tokens survive each verification step. In this work, we identify a new mechanism-level vulnerability in model-based speculative decoding: the drafter is trained to approximate the target model distribution, but this approximation is inevitably imperfect. Such a drafter-target mismatch creates a hidden attack surface where small perturbations can preserve the target model's visible behavior while substantially reducing draft-token acceptability. We propose Mistletoe, a stealthy acceleration-collapse attack against speculative decoding. Mistletoe directly targets the acceptance mechanism of speculative decoding. It jointly optimizes a degradation objective that decreases drafter-target agreement and a semantic-preservation objective that constrains the target model's output distribution. To resolve the conflict between these objectives, we introduce a null-space projection mechanism, where degradation gradients are projected away from the local semantic-preserving direction, suppressing draft acceptance while minimizing semantic drift. Experiments on various speculative decoding systems show that Mistletoe substantially reduces average accepted length τ, collapses speedup, and lowers averaged token throughput, while preserving output quality and perplexity. Our work highlights that speculative decoding introduces a mechanism-level attack surface beyond existing output robustness, calling for more robust designs of LLM acceleration systems.