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Amortized Neural Clustering of Time Series based on Statistical Features

arXiv 2605.13128 ↗First posted 13 May 2026stat.ML cs.LG stat.COcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

This paper introduces an algorithm-agnostic approach to feature-based time series clustering via amortized neural inference. By training neural networks to approximate the optimal partitioning rule from simulated data, the proposed framework reduces reliance on conventional clustering methods, such as K-means, K-medoids, or hierarchical clustering, and their associated objective functions and heuristics. Leveraging statistical features, such as autocorrelations and quantile autocorrelations, the approach learns a data-driven affinity structure from which clustering partitions can be recovered, without requiring explicit prior specification of cluster shapes or structures. In addition, one version of the method can automatically determine the number of clusters, avoiding ad-hoc selection procedures. Comprehensive empirical studies show that the proposed framework achieves competitive or superior clustering accuracy relative to traditional methods, even in challenging scenarios where competing techniques are provided with the true number of clusters. An application to financial time series of stock returns illustrates its practical utility. By reducing the need for algorithm selection and calibration, the proposed framework opens new possibilities for automated, adaptive, and data-driven clustering of temporal data across scientific and industrial domains.

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References · 12

  1. 2017Deep Setscited by 1,404
  2. 2019The frontier of simulation-based inferencecited by 492
  3. 2018Sequential Neural Likelihood: Fast Likelihood-free Inference with Autoregressive Flowscited by 217
  4. 2020Principles and Algorithms for Forecasting Groups of Time Series: Locality and Globalitycited by 70
  5. 2023Learning Robust Statistics for Simulation-based Inference under Model Misspecificationcited by 48
  6. 2023Bayesian Synthetic Likelihoodcited by 29
  7. 2016Clustering Algorithms: A Comparative Approachcited by 28
  8. 2022Stop using the elbow criterion for k-means and how to choose the number of clusters insteadcited by 25
  9. 2015Neural network-based clustering using pairwise constraintscited by 22
  10. 2019Hierarchical Clustering for Smart Meter Electricity Loads based on Quantile Autocovariancescited by 4
  11. 2023Time series clustering based on prediction accuracy of global forecasting modelscited by 3
  12. 2024Deep Clustering with Self-Supervision using Pairwise Similaritiescited by 3

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