Factual recall in linear associative memories: sharp asymptotics and mechanistic insights

Large language models demonstrate remarkable ability in factual recall, yet the fundamental limits of storing and retrieving input--output associations with neural networks remain unclear. We study these limits in a minimal setting: a linear associative memory that maps p input embeddings in ℝd to their corresponding~d-dimensional targets via a single layer, requiring each mapped input to be well separated from all other targets. Unlike in supervised classification, this strict separation induces~p constraints per association and produces strong correlations between constraints that make a direct characterisation of the storage capacity difficult. Here, we provide a precise characterisation of this capacity in the following way. We first introduce a decoupled model in which each input has its own independent set of competing outputs, and provide numerical and analytical evidence that this decoupled model is equivalent to the original model in terms of storage capacity, spectra of the learnt weights, and storage mechanism. Using tools from statistical physics, we show that the decoupled model can store up to pc log pc / d2 = 1 / 2 associations, and generalise the computation of pc to linear two-layer architectures. Our analysis also gives mechanistic insight into how the optimal solution improves over a na"ive Hebbian learning rule: rather than boosting input-output alignments with broad fluctuations, the optimal solution raises the correct scores just above the extreme-value threshold set by the competing outputs. These findings give a sharp statistical-physics characterisation of factual storage in linear networks and provide a baseline for understanding the memory capacity of more realistic neural architectures.