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Preliminary Insights in Chronos Frequency Data Understanding and Reconstruction

arXiv 2605.06361 ↗First posted 7 May 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

This paper presents a preliminary analysis of the ability of Chronos foundation model to process and internally represent frequency domain information. Foundation models that process time-series data offer practitioners a unified architecture capable of learning generic temporal representations across diverse tasks and domains, reducing the need for task-specific feature engineering and enabling transfer across signal modalities. Despite their growing adoption, the extent to which such models encode fundamental signal properties remains insufficiently characterised. We address this gap by analysing Chronos under controlled conditions, starting from the simplest class of signals: discrete sinusoids generated at fixed frequencies. Using lightweight online minimum description length probes applied to the decoder architecture, we test for the presence and separability of frequency information in the model's internal representations. The results provide insight into how frequential content is captured across the frequency spectrum and highlight regimes in which representation quality may degrade or require particular care. These findings offer practical guidance for users of Chronos in signal processing and information fusion contexts, and contribute to ongoing efforts to improve the interpretability and evaluation of foundation models for temporal data.

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References · 13

  1. 2019PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Librarycited by 20,305
  2. 2019Exploring the Limits of Transfer Learning with a Unified Text-to-Text Transformercited by 14,599
  3. 2019Optuna: A Next-generation Hyperparameter Optimization Frameworkcited by 2,501
  4. 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 759
  5. 2019Designing and Interpreting Probes with Control Taskscited by 640
  6. 2023LEACE: Perfect linear concept erasure in closed formcited by 267
  7. 2020Information-Theoretic Probing with Minimum Description Lengthcited by 232
  8. 2025Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecastingcited by 194
  9. 2023The Hydra Effect: Emergent Self-repair in Language Model Computationscited by 156
  10. 2022Sequential Learning Of Neural Networks for Prequential MDLcited by 13
  11. 2025Spectral Predictability as a Fast Reliability Indicator for Time Series Forecasting Model Selectioncited by 3
  12. 2024Neuro-Symbolic Fusion of Wi-Fi Sensing Data for Passive Radar with Inter-Modal Knowledge Transfercited by 2
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  1. 2025A More Realistic Evaluation of Cross-Frequency Transfer Learning and Foundation Forecasting Modelscited by 2

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