Order-Sensitive Sequential Interventions on Ideal Lattices

We study sequential interventions under prerequisite constraints. In this setting, admissible intervention sequences are paths in the ideal lattice of a finite prerequisite poset rather than unconstrained action strings. We give an exact local-to-global theory of order sensitivity on this state space. First, we prove that any two admissible paths with the same endpoints differ by a finite sequence of elementary diamond swaps. Second, for edge-additive path valuations, we show that path-independence is equivalent to vanishing diamond curvature, yielding an endpoint potential with a canonical M"obius parameterization on the ideal lattice. Third, we prove that a local diamond field is induced by an edge-based path model if and only if it satisfies cube consistency, with uniqueness after fixing a reference-tree gauge. Under reduced-state longitudinal assumptions, supported reference paths identify reference-path scores, whereas local order effects require two-sided support of both orders on each diamond. These results yield exact planning consequences, including an order-insensitivity bound and dynamic programming on the truncated ideal lattice.