Option Pricing on Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum Computers: A Quantum Neural Network Approach
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Abstract (arXiv)
In a global derivatives market with notional values in the hundreds of trillions of dollars, the accuracy and efficiency of pricing models are of fundamental importance, with direct implications for risk management, capital allocation, and regulatory compliance. In this work, we employ the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) framework not as an end in itself, but as a controlled benchmark environment in which to rigorously assess the capabilities of quantum machine learning methods. We propose a fully quantum approach to option pricing based on Quantum Neural Networks (QNNs), and, to the best of our knowledge, present one of the first implementations of such a methodology on currently available quantum hardware. Specifically, we investigate whether QNNs, by exploiting the geometric structure of Hilbert space, can effectively approximate option pricing functions. Our implementation utilizes a compact 2-qubit QNN architecture evaluated across multiple state-of-the-art quantum processors, including IBM Fez, IQM Garnet, IonQ Forte, and Rigetti Ankaa-3. This cross-platform study reveals distinct hardware-dependent performance characteristics while demonstrating that accurate pricing approximations can be achieved consistently across different devices despite the constraints of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) hardware. The results provide empirical evidence that QNN-based approaches constitute a viable framework for derivative pricing. While the analysis is conducted within the BSM setting, the broader significance lies in the potential extension of these methods to more realistic and computationally demanding models, including local volatility, stochastic volatility, and interest rate frameworks commonly used in practice.
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References · 8
- 2016XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting Systemcited by 5,120
- 2019Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI): Concepts, Taxonomies, Opportunities and Challenges toward Responsible AIcited by 1,543
- 2018Barren plateaus in quantum neural network training landscapescited by 624
- 2020The power of quantum neural networkscited by 377
- 2020The effect of data encoding on the expressive power of variational quantum machine learning modelscited by 328
- 2021Supervised quantum machine learning models are kernel methodscited by 199
- 2023Machine learning for option pricing: an empirical investigation of network architecturescited by 3
- 2026Investigation of Hardware Architecture Effects on Quantum Algorithm Performance: A Comparative Hardware Studycited by 1
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