mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Do VLMs Truly "Read" Candlesticks? A Multi-Scale Benchmark for Visual Stock Price Forecasting

arXiv 2604.12659 ↗First posted 14 Apr 2026cs.LG cs.CLcited by 0

On the map: Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models → Chart understanding and anomaly detection

Abstract (arXiv)

Vision-language models(VLMs) are increasingly applied to visual stock price forecasting, yet existing benchmarks inadequately evaluate their understanding of stock price in candlestick charts. First, prior studies fail to isolate VLMs' comprehension of visual inputs genuinely improves predictive performance and whether VLMs truly comprehend candlestick patterns. Further, most existing datasets and evaluation setups are designed around single-period or tabular inputs. However, human analysts strongly rely on multi-scale candlestick charts, where longer-term horizons capture trend direction and shorter-term horizons provide cues for inflection points, making it difficult to systematically assess VLMs' ability to integrate short-term and long-term visual market dynamics. To bridge this gap, we construct a multi-scale candlestick charts dataset and a standardized evaluation framework to assess VLMs' ability to utilize multi-scale visual market signals. Evaluation combines confusion-matrix-based diagnostics with information coefficient(IC) time series metrics and includes XGBoost as a feature-based temporal baseline. Using this dataset, we benchmark representative VLMs and analyze their ability to leverage multi-scale stock price data. Experimental results show that most VLMs perform well only under persistent uptrend or downtrend conditions, while exhibiting weak predictive capability in more common market scenarios. We also identify significant prediction biases and limited sensitivity to explicitly specified forecast horizons in prompts, indicating inherent limitations in precise temporal reasoning.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Chart understanding and anomaly detection, one of 16 directions in Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models. Builds on 5 of its 28 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 14 Apr 2026.

Builds on

5 of 28 references.

Closest ancestors · 1

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2024Open-FinLLMs: Open Multimodal Large Language Models for Financial Applications20 Aug

Other references · 4

  1. 2024Time-MMD: Multi-Domain Multimodal Dataset for Time Series Analysiscited by 74
  2. 2025FinMultiTime: A Four-Modal Bilingual Dataset for Financial Time-Series Analysiscited by 11
  3. 2019Using Deep Learning Neural Networks and Candlestick Chart Representation to Predict Stock Marketcited by 8
  4. 2025VISTA: Vision-Language Inference for Training-Free Stock Time-Series Analysiscited by 6

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  3. 2025Reasoning on Time-Series for Financial Technical Analysis
  4. 2023Leveraging Vision-Language Models for Granular Market Change Prediction
  5. 2025Stock Pattern Assistant (SPA): A Deterministic and Explainable Framework for Structural Price Run Extraction and Event Correlation in Equity Markets
  6. 2026TimeVista: Exploring and Exploiting Vision-Language Models as Judges for Time Series Forecasting
  7. 2025InterChart: Benchmarking Visual Reasoning Across Decomposed and Distributed Chart Information
  8. 2026Confidence Estimation for Financial Vision-Language Models in Chart and Document Understanding