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Virtual Smart Metering in District Heating Networks via Heterogeneous Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks

arXiv 2604.10166 ↗First posted 11 Apr 2026cs.LG cs.AI cs.SYcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Intelligent operation of thermal energy networks aims to improve energy efficiency, reliability, and operational flexibility through data-driven control, predictive optimization, and early fault detection. Achieving these goals relies on sufficient observability, requiring continuous and well-distributed monitoring of thermal and hydraulic states. However, district heating systems are typically sparsely instrumented and frequently affected by sensor faults, limiting monitoring. Virtual sensing offers a cost-effective means to enhance observability, yet its development and validation remain limited in practice. Existing data-driven methods generally assume dense synchronized data, while analytical models rely on simplified hydraulic and thermal assumptions that may not adequately capture the behavior of heterogeneous network topologies. Consequently, modeling the coupled nonlinear dependencies between pressure, flow, and temperature under realistic operating conditions remains challenging. In addition, the lack of publicly available benchmark datasets hinders systematic comparison of virtual sensing approaches. To address these challenges, we propose a heterogeneous spatial-temporal graph neural network (HSTGNN) for constructing virtual smart heat meters. The model incorporates the functional relationships inherent in district heating networks and employs dedicated branches to learn graph structures and temporal dynamics for flow, temperature, and pressure measurements, thereby enabling the joint modeling of cross-variable and spatial correlations. To support further research, we introduce a controlled laboratory dataset collected at the Aalborg Smart Water Infrastructure Laboratory, providing synchronized high-resolution measurements representative of real operating conditions. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed approach significantly outperforms existing baselines.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 17 of its 46 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 11 Apr 2026.

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References · 17

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  10. 2025Relational Conformal Prediction for Correlated Time Seriescited by 11
  11. 2024Graph Neural Networks for Virtual Sensing in Complex Systems: Addressing Heterogeneous Temporal Dynamicscited by 7
  12. 2024Physics-Enhanced Graph Neural Networks For Soft Sensing in Industrial Internet of Thingscited by 6
5 more
  1. 2024Informed Graph Learning By Domain Knowledge Injection and Smooth Graph Signal Representationcited by 2
  2. 2024Efficient Unsupervised Domain Adaptation Regression for Spatial-Temporal Sensor Fusioncited by 2
  3. 2025Heterogeneous Graph Neural Networks for Short-term State Forecasting in Power Systems across Domains and Time Scales: A Hydroelectric Power Plant Case Studycited by 2
  4. 2025From Physics to Machine Learning and Back: Part II - Learning and Observational Bias in PHMcited by 2
  5. 2025Time-Vertex Machine Learning for Optimal Sensor Placement in Temporal Graph Signals: Applications in Structural Health Monitoringcited by 2

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