Quantisation Reshapes the Metacognitive Geometry of Language Models
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
We report that model quantisation restructures domain-level metacognitive efficiency in LLMs rather than degrading it uniformly. Evaluating Llama-3-8B-Instruct on the same 3,000 questions at Q5_K_M and f16 precision, we find that M-ratio profiles across four knowledge domains are uncorrelated between formats (Spearman rho = 0.00). Arts & Literature moves from worst-monitored (M-ratio = 0.606 at Q5_K_M) to best-monitored (1.542 at f16). Geography moves from well-monitored (1.210) to under-monitored (0.798). However, Type-2 AUROC profiles are perfectly stable across formats (rho = 1.00), localising the restructuring to the M-ratio normalisation rather than the underlying discrimination signal. This finding emerged from a pre-registered attempt to improve metacognition through domain-conditional training. We prescribed confidence-amplification SFT for the diagnosed weak domain, with matched-budget agnostic and wrong-prescription controls. All four confirmatory hypotheses were null (10,000 bootstrap resamples, seed = 42). The training successfully reshaped confidence distributions, doubling the NLP gap in Science from 0.076 to 0.152, but did not improve meta-d' because the diagnostic profile did not transfer across formats. Any system relying on domain-level M-ratio profiles has an unexamined dependency on inference format. Systems using AUROC_2 are safer. We release all code, pre-registrations, and trial-level data.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 5 of its 11 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Apr 2026.
Builds on
5 of 11 references.
References · 5
- 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,860
- 2022GPTQ: Accurate Post-Training Quantization for Generative Pre-trained Transformerscited by 1,838
- 2024When Quantization Affects Confidence of Large Language Models?cited by 5
- 2025Generalization of Fine-Tuned Uncertainty Communication and Metacognition in Large Language Modelscited by 4
- 2026CATTO: Balancing Preferences and Confidence in Language Modelscited by 4
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
1 paper.