mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Calibration of a neural network ocean closure for improved mean state and variability

arXiv 2604.06398 ↗First posted 7 Apr 2026physics.ao-ph cs.LG physics.comp-phcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Global ocean models exhibit biases in the mean state and variability, particularly at coarse resolution, where mesoscale eddies are unresolved. To address these biases, parameterization coefficients are typically tuned ad hoc. Here, we formulate parameter tuning as a calibration problem using Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI). We optimize parameters of a neural network parameterization of mesoscale eddies in two idealized ocean models at coarse resolution. The calibrated parameterization reduces errors by factors of 1.7-3.3 in the time-averaged fluid interfaces and their variability compared to the unparameterized model, depending on the metric and configuration. The EKI method is robust to noise in time-averaged statistics arising from chaotic ocean dynamics. Furthermore, we propose an efficient calibration protocol that bypasses integration to statistical equilibrium by carefully choosing an initial condition. These results demonstrate that systematic calibration can substantially improve coarse-resolution ocean simulations and provide a practical pathway for reducing biases in global ocean models.

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References · 11

  1. 2021Machine learning accelerated computational fluid dynamicscited by 461
  2. 2019General E(2)-Equivariant Steerable CNNscited by 441
  3. 2022A posteriori learning for quasi-geostrophic turbulence parametrizationcited by 36
  4. 2020Iterative Ensemble Kalman Methods: A Unified Perspective with Some New Variantscited by 13
  5. 2021Ensemble Inference Methods for Models With Noisy and Expensive Likelihoodscited by 8
  6. 2020Adaptive regularisation for ensemble Kalman inversioncited by 7
  7. 2023Online Calibration of Deep Learning Sub-Models for Hybrid Numerical Modeling Systemscited by 4
  8. 2025The Ensemble Kalman Inversion Racecited by 3
  9. 2024Adjoint-based online learning of two-layer quasi-geostrophic baroclinic turbulencecited by 1
  10. 2025Nesterov Acceleration for Ensemble Kalman Inversion and Variantscited by 1
  11. 2025NORi: An ML-Augmented Ocean Boundary Layer Parameterizationcited by 1

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