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Extending Precipitation Nowcasting Horizons via Spectral Fusion of Radar Observations and Foundation Model Priors

arXiv 2603.21768 ↗First posted 23 Mar 2026cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Precipitation nowcasting is critical for disaster mitigation and aviation safety. However, radar-only models frequently suffer from a lack of large-scale atmospheric context, leading to performance degradation at longer lead times. While integrating meteorological variables predicted by weather foundation models offers a potential remedy, existing architectures fail to reconcile the profound representational heterogeneities between radar imagery and meteorological data. To bridge this gap, we propose PW-FouCast, a novel frequency-domain fusion framework that leverages Pangu-Weather forecasts as spectral priors within a Fourier-based backbone. Our architecture introduces three key innovations: (i) Pangu-Weather-guided Frequency Modulation to align spectral magnitudes and phases with meteorological priors; (ii) Frequency Memory to correct phase discrepancies and preserve temporal evolution; and (iii) Inverted Frequency Attention to reconstruct high-frequency details typically lost in spectral filtering. Extensive experiments on the SEVIR and MeteoNet benchmarks demonstrate that PW-FouCast achieves state-of-the-art performance, effectively extending the reliable forecast horizon while maintaining structural fidelity. Our code is available at https://github.com/Onemissed/PW-FouCast.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 11 of its 25 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 23 Mar 2026.

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11 of 25 references.

References · 11

  1. 2015Convolutional LSTM Network: A Machine Learning Approach for Precipitation Nowcastingcited by 1,428
  2. 2021PredRNN: A Recurrent Neural Network for Spatiotemporal Predictive Learningcited by 181
  3. 2022Earthformer: Exploring Space-Time Transformers for Earth System Forecastingcited by 146
  4. 2023PreDiff: Precipitation Nowcasting with Latent Diffusion Modelscited by 96
  5. 2022Temporal Attention Unit: Towards Efficient Spatiotemporal Predictive Learningcited by 84
  6. 2021Video Prediction Recalling Long-term Motion Context via Memory Alignment Learningcited by 62
  7. 2023DiffCast: A Unified Framework via Residual Diffusion for Precipitation Nowcastingcited by 57
  8. 2023PastNet: Introducing Physical Inductive Biases for Spatio-temporal Video Predictioncited by 44
  9. 2022SimVPv2: Towards Simple yet Powerful Spatiotemporal Predictive Learningcited by 20
  10. 2025Frequency-Dynamic Attention Modulation for Dense Predictioncited by 10
  11. 2024TCP-Diffusion: A Multi-modal Diffusion Model for Global Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Forecasting with Change Awarenesscited by 4

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