Can Blindfolded LLMs Still Trade? An Anonymization-First Framework for Portfolio Optimization
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Abstract (arXiv)
For LLM trading agents to be genuinely trustworthy, they must demonstrate understanding of market dynamics rather than exploitation of memorized ticker associations. Building responsible multi-agent systems demands rigorous signal validation: proving that predictions reflect legitimate patterns, not pre-trained recall. We address two sources of spurious performance: memorization bias from ticker-specific pre-training, and survivorship bias from flawed backtesting. Our approach is to blindfold the agents--anonymizing all identifiers--and verify whether meaningful signals persist. BlindTrade anonymizes tickers and company names, and four LLM agents output scores along with reasoning. We construct a GNN graph from reasoning embeddings and trade using PPO-DSR policy. On 2025 YTD (through 2025-08-01), we achieved Sharpe 1.40 +/- 0.22 across 20 seeds and validated signal legitimacy through negative control experiments. To assess robustness beyond a single OOS window, we additionally evaluate an extended period (2024--2025), revealing market-regime dependency: the policy excels in volatile conditions but shows reduced alpha in trending bull markets.
Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 8 of its 17 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Mar 2026.
Builds on
8 of 17 references.
References · 8
- 2017A Distributional Perspective on Reinforcement Learningcited by 765
- 2019FinBERT: Financial Sentiment Analysis with Pre-trained Language Modelscited by 385
- 2023Can ChatGPT Forecast Stock Price Movements? Return Predictability and Large Language Modelscited by 129
- 2017A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for the Financial Portfolio Management Problemcited by 128
- 2018Temporal Relational Ranking for Stock Predictioncited by 102
- 2019Deep Reinforcement Learning for Tradingcited by 73
- 2025Your AI, Not Your View: The Bias of LLMs in Investment Analysiscited by 17
- 2025LiveTradeBench: Seeking Real-World Alpha with Large Language Modelscited by 13
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 4.
4 papers.
- 2026Agentic Trading: When LLM Agents Meet Financial Marketscited by 7
- 2026EvolveTrade: Experience-Driven Policy Refinement for Self-Evolving LLM Trading Agentscited by 1
- 2026MemGuard-Alpha: Limits of Membership Inference for Detecting and Filtering Memorization-Contaminated Signals in LLM-Based Financial Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026DeXposure-Claw: An Agentic System for DeFi Risk Supervisioncited by 0
- 2026EvolveTrade: Experience-Driven Policy Refinement for Self-Evolving LLM Trading Agents15 Sep 2026
- 2026DeXposure-Claw: An Agentic System for DeFi Risk Supervision17 Jun 2026
- 2026Agentic Trading: When LLM Agents Meet Financial Markets19 May 2026
- 2026MemGuard-Alpha: Limits of Membership Inference for Detecting and Filtering Memorization-Contaminated Signals in LLM-Based Financial Forecasting26 Mar 2026
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
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- 2026From Knowing to Doing: A Memory-Controlled Benchmark for LLM Trading Agents on Stock Markets
- 2025TradeTrap: Are LLM-based Trading Agents Truly Reliable and Faithful?
- 2026Contagion on the Trading Floor: How Adversarial Signals Spread in Multi-Agent Trading Systems
- 2026Signal or Noise in Multi-Agent LLM-based Stock Recommendations?
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