Shallow Representation of Option Implied Information
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Abstract (arXiv)
Option prices encode the market's collective outlook through implied density and implied volatility. An explicit link between implied density and implied volatility translates the risk-neutrality of the former into conditions on the latter to rule out static arbitrage. Despite earlier recognition of their parity, the two had been studied in isolation for decades until the recent demand in implied volatility modeling rejuvenated such parity. This paper provides a systematic approach to build neural representations of option implied information. As a preliminary, we first revisit the explicit link between implied density and implied volatility through an alternative and minimalist lens, where implied volatility is viewed not as volatility but as a pointwise corrector mapping the Black-Scholes quasi-density into the implied risk-neutral density. Building on this perspective, we propose the neural representation that incorporates arbitrage constraints through the differentiable corrector. With an additive logistic model as the synthetic benchmark, extensive experiments reveal that deeper or wider network structures do not necessarily improve the model performance due to the nonlinearity of both arbitrage constraints and neural derivatives. By contrast, a shallow feedforward network with a single hidden layer and a specific activation effectively approximates implied density and implied volatility.
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References · 5
- 2014Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimizationcited by 36,960
- 2015Delving Deep into Rectifiers: Surpassing Human-Level Performance on ImageNet Classificationcited by 3,590
- 2015The Power of Depth for Feedforward Neural Networkscited by 181
- 2019Deep Smoothing of the Implied Volatility Surfacecited by 19
- 2024Neural Term Structure of Additive Process for Option Pricingcited by 1
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