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Causal Matrix Completion under Multiple Treatments via Mixed Synthetic Nearest Neighbors

arXiv 2603.11942 ↗First posted 12 Mar 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Synthetic Nearest Neighbors (SNN) provides a principled solution to causal matrix completion under missing-not-at-random (MNAR) by exploiting local low-rank structure through fully observed anchor submatrices. However, its effectiveness critically relies on sufficient data availability within each treatment level, a condition that often fails in settings with multiple or complex treatments. In this work, we propose Mixed Synthetic Nearest Neighbors (MSNN), a new entry-wise causal identification estimator that integrates information across treatment levels. We show that MSNN retains the finite-sample error bounds and asymptotic normality guarantees of SNN, while enlarging the effective sample size available for estimation. Empirical results on synthetic and real-world datasets illustrate the efficacy of the proposed approach, especially under data-scarce treatment levels.

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References · 10

  1. 2021Causal Matrix Completioncited by 45
  2. 2019Missing Not at Random in Matrix Completion: The Effectiveness of Estimating Missingness Probabilities Under a Low Nuclear Norm Assumptioncited by 29
  3. 2020Synthetic Interventionscited by 25
  4. 2018Imputation and low-rank estimation with Missing Not At Random datacited by 21
  5. 2023Synthetic Combinations: A Causal Inference Framework for Combinatorial Interventionscited by 12
  6. 2022Doubly robust nearest neighbors in factor modelscited by 9
  7. 2021TenIPS: Inverse Propensity Sampling for Tensor Completioncited by 7
  8. 2024Learning Counterfactual Distributions via Kernel Nearest Neighborscited by 2
  9. 2025Generalized Tensor Completion with Non-Random Missingnesscited by 1
  10. 2025Causal Inference on Sequential Treatments via Tensor Completioncited by 1

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