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Scalable Contrastive Causal Discovery under Unknown Soft Interventions

arXiv 2603.03411 ↗First posted 3 Mar 2026stat.ML cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Observational causal discovery is only identifiable up to the Markov equivalence class. While interventions can reduce this ambiguity, in practice interventions are often soft with multiple unknown targets. In many realistic scenarios, only a single intervention regime is observed. We propose a scalable causal discovery model for paired observational and interventional settings with shared underlying causal structure and unknown soft interventions. The model aggregates subset-level PDAGs and applies contrastive cross-regime orientation rules to construct a globally consistent maximal PDAG under Meek closure, enabling generalization to both in-distribution and out-of-distribution settings. Theoretically, we prove that our model is sound with respect to a restricted Psi equivalence class induced solely by the information available in the subset-restricted setting. We further show that the model asymptotically recovers the corresponding identifiable PDAG and can orient additional edges compared to non-contrastive subset-restricted methods. Experiments on synthetic data demonstrate improved causal structure recovery, generalization to unseen graphs with held-out causal mechanisms, and scalability to larger graphs, with ablations supporting the theoretical results.

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References · 16

  1. 2018DAGs with NO TEARS: Continuous Optimization for Structure Learningcited by 745
  2. 2015Causal inference using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervalscited by 533
  3. 2019Gradient-Based Neural DAG Learningcited by 227
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  8. 2017Invariant Causal Prediction for Nonlinear Modelscited by 140
  9. 2022DAGMA: Learning DAGs via M-matrices and a Log-Determinant Acyclicity Characterizationcited by 135
  10. 2022Amortized Inference for Causal Structure Learningcited by 89
  11. 2017Permutation-based Causal Inference Algorithms with Interventionscited by 78
  12. 2017Invariant Causal Prediction for Sequential Datacited by 63
4 more
  1. 2019Scaling structural learning with NO-BEARS to infer causal transcriptome networkscited by 39
  2. 2017Budgeted Experiment Design for Causal Structure Learningcited by 38
  3. 2020Active Invariant Causal Prediction: Experiment Selection through Stabilitycited by 37
  4. 2024Sample, estimate, aggregate: A recipe for causal discovery foundation modelscited by 19

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