Validating Political Position Predictions of Arguments
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Abstract (arXiv)
Real-world knowledge representation often requires capturing subjective, continuous attributes -- such as political positions -- that conflict with pairwise validation, the widely accepted gold standard for human evaluation. We address this challenge through a dual-scale validation framework applied to political stance prediction in argumentative discourse, combining pointwise and pairwise human annotation. Using 22 language models, we construct a large-scale knowledge base of political position predictions for 23,228 arguments drawn from 30 debates that appeared on the UK politicial television programme textitQuestion Time. Pointwise evaluation shows moderate human-model agreement (Krippendorff's α=0.578), reflecting intrinsic subjectivity, while pairwise validation reveals substantially stronger alignment between human- and model-derived rankings (α=0.86 for the best model). This work contributes: (i) a practical validation methodology for subjective continuous knowledge that balances scalability with reliability; (ii) a validated structured argumentation knowledge base enabling graph-based reasoning and retrieval-augmented generation in political domains; and (iii) evidence that ordinal structure can be extracted from pointwise language models predictions from inherently subjective real-world discourse, advancing knowledge representation capabilities for domains where traditional symbolic or categorical approaches are insufficient.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 9 of its 46 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 20 Feb 2026.
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9 of 46 references.
References · 9
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
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