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Neural Network-Based Parameter Estimation of a Labour Market Agent-Based Model

arXiv 2602.15572 ↗First posted 17 Feb 2026cs.LG cs.MAcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Agent-based modelling (ABM) is a widespread approach to simulate complex systems. Advancements in computational processing and storage have facilitated the adoption of ABMs across many fields; however, ABMs face challenges that limit their use as decision-support tools. A significant issue is parameter estimation in large-scale ABMs, particularly due to computational constraints on exploring the parameter space. This study evaluates a state-of-the-art simulation-based inference (SBI) framework that uses neural networks (NN) for parameter estimation. This framework is applied to an established labour market ABM based on job transition networks. The ABM is initiated with synthetic datasets and the real U.S. labour market. Next, we compare the effectiveness of summary statistics derived from a list of statistical measures with that learned by an embedded NN. The results demonstrate that the NN-based approach recovers the original parameters when evaluating posterior distributions across various dataset scales and improves efficiency compared to traditional Bayesian methods.

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References · 8

  1. 2014Empirical Evaluation of Gated Recurrent Neural Networks on Sequence Modelingcited by 2,367
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  5. 2018Validating Bayesian Inference Algorithms with Simulation-Based Calibrationcited by 124
  6. 2020COVID-ABS: An Agent-Based Model of COVID-19 Epidemic to Simulate Health and Economic Effects of Social Distancing Interventionscited by 18
  7. 2022On learning agent-based models from datacited by 14
  8. 2022Calibrating Agent-based Models to Microdata with Graph Neural Networkscited by 7

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