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Rashomon Sets and Model Multiplicity in Federated Learning

arXiv 2602.09520 ↗First posted 10 Feb 2026cs.LG cs.DCcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

The Rashomon set captures the collection of models that achieve near-identical empirical performance yet may differ substantially in their decision boundaries. Understanding the differences among these models, i.e., their multiplicity, is recognized as a crucial step toward model transparency, fairness, and robustness, as it reveals decision boundaries instabilities that standard metrics obscure. However, the existing definitions of Rashomon set and multiplicity metrics assume centralized learning and do not extend naturally to decentralized, multi-party settings like Federated Learning (FL). In FL, multiple clients collaboratively train models under a central server's coordination without sharing raw data, which preserves privacy but introduces challenges from heterogeneous client data distribution and communication constraints. In this setting, the choice of a single best model may homogenize predictive behavior across diverse clients, amplify biases, or undermine fairness guarantees. In this work, we provide the first formalization of Rashomon sets in FL.First, we adapt the Rashomon set definition to FL, distinguishing among three perspectives: (I) a global Rashomon set defined over aggregated statistics across all clients, (II) a t-agreement Rashomon set representing the intersection of local Rashomon sets across a fraction t of clients, and (III) individual Rashomon sets specific to each client's local distribution.Second, we show how standard multiplicity metrics can be estimated under FL's privacy constraints. Finally, we introduce a multiplicity-aware FL pipeline and conduct an empirical study on standard FL benchmark datasets. Our results demonstrate that all three proposed federated Rashomon set definitions offer valuable insights, enabling clients to deploy models that better align with their local data, fairness considerations, and practical requirements.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 32 of its 60 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Feb 2026.

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32 of 60 references.

References · 32

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20 more
  1. 2021CrypTen: Secure Multi-Party Computation Meets Machine Learningcited by 131
  2. 2021When the Curious Abandon Honesty: Federated Learning Is Not Privatecited by 126
  3. 2019On the Existence of Simpler Machine Learning Modelscited by 87
  4. 2021Characterizing Fairness Over the Set of Good Models Under Selective Labelscited by 65
  5. 2021Federated Hyperparameter Tuning: Challenges, Baselines, and Connections to Weight-Sharingcited by 58
  6. 2021Directional Bias Amplificationcited by 54
  7. 2024Amazing Things Come From Having Many Good Modelscited by 52
  8. 2019Diffprivlib: The IBM Differential Privacy Librarycited by 51
  9. 2022Rashomon Capacity: A Metric for Predictive Multiplicity in Classificationcited by 46
  10. 2022Predictive Multiplicity in Probabilistic Classificationcited by 44
  11. 2023Arbitrary Decisions are a Hidden Cost of Differentially Private Trainingcited by 19
  12. 2024Dropout-Based Rashomon Set Exploration for Efficient Predictive Multiplicity Estimationcited by 18
  13. 2025Systemizing Multiplicity: The Curious Case of Arbitrariness in Machine Learningcited by 17
  14. 2021Agree to Disagree: When Deep Learning Models With Identical Architectures Produce Distinct Explanationscited by 15
  15. 2024The Federation Strikes Back: A Survey of Federated Learning Privacy Attacks, Defenses, Applications, and Policy Landscapecited by 13
  16. 2023Bias Propagation in Federated Learningcited by 12
  17. 2023Arbitrariness Lies Beyond the Fairness-Accuracy Frontiercited by 5
  18. 2024When Can You Trust Your Explanations? A Robustness Analysis on Feature Importancescited by 5
  19. 2024AI-Spectra: A Visual Dashboard for Model Multiplicity to Enhance Informed and Transparent Decision-Makingcited by 4
  20. 2025Allocation Multiplicity: Evaluating the Promises of the Rashomon Setcited by 4

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