mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

It's all In the (Exponential) Family: An Equivalence between Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Control Variates for Sketching Algorithms

arXiv 2601.22378 ↗First posted 29 Jan 2026stat.ML cs.LG stat.APcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) and control variate estimators (CVE) have been used in conjunction with known information across sketching algorithms and applications in machine learning. We prove that under certain conditions in an exponential family, an optimal CVE will achieve the same asymptotic variance as the MLE, giving a fixed point algorithm for the MLE. Experiments show the fixed point algorithm is faster and numerically stable compared to other root finding algorithms for the MLE for the bivariate Normal distribution, and we expect this to hold across distributions satisfying these conditions. We show how this algorithm leads to reproducibility for algorithms using MLE / CVE, and demonstrate how the algorithm leads to finding the MLE when the CV weights are known.

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References · 8

  1. 2014Statistical guarantees for the EM algorithm: From population to sample-based analysiscited by 131
  2. 2020Hutch++: Optimal Stochastic Trace Estimationcited by 62
  3. 2014Control functionals for Monte Carlo integrationcited by 59
  4. 2018Estimating the Spectral Density of Large Implicit Matricescited by 16
  5. 2018Regularized Zero-Variance Control Variatescited by 10
  6. 2022Stochastic diagonal estimation: probabilistic bounds and an improved algorithmcited by 6
  7. 2022Improving textitTug-of-War sketch using Control-Variates methodcited by 2
  8. 2024Euclidean distance compression via deep random featurescited by 1

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